Jack McGrath NFL Mock Draft 1.0
(Photo Credit: USATSI)
One. More. Day. Then the NFL draft begins. All the speculation, rumors, tape watching, and mock drafting for the 2021 NFL Draft ends in one long night. Fantasy Football drafts won’t (or at least shouldn’t) be taking place for a few more months but these picks will undoubtedly have significant impacts on the ADP’s of key players. I’ll run through how I think the draft is going to go down and the re-draft fantasy impact of the top 10 offensive picks.
1. Jacksonville Jaguars- Trevor Lawrence
a. Trevor Lawrence gives the Jacksonville Jaguars what is close to a sure thing at the QB position. In his first year, he’ll be better than Gardner Minshew has ever been and should upgrade the entire Jaguars offense. Bump up Jags receivers. The Jacksonville offense as a whole still has some question marks, so don’t go TOO crazy with the T-Law hype. He’s a great bet as your QB2.
2. New York Jets- Zach Wilson
a. Zach Wilson has risen to the second spot on draft boards. The Jets offense has just as many question marks as the Jaguars, and lacks an established run game. Expect New York to draft a running back to start week 1 later in the draft. In year 1, Wilson doesn’t do much more for the Jets wide receivers than Sam Darnold would have. Fade Wilson slightly in Fantasy redrafts, but he’s a worthy flyer between picks 130-150.
a. The weapons in San Francisco are ridiculous for a third overall pick. Brandon Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel, George Kittle, and Raheem Mostert give the 49ers legitimate threats to work its way down the field on every possession. The biggest issue is we don’t know who will be the starter week one. Jimmy Garropollo is still rostered and would have a legitimate claim to the starting job after taking the 49ers to the SuperBowl just two years ago. Jones is pro-ready after demolishing SEC defenses all of last season. He has limited rushing upside but should make up for it in the air. Jones is a legit QB 2 pick if he is the starter.
4. Atlanta Falcons- Kyle Pitts
a. Quite possibly the most athletic player in the draft, Pitts has been called a Unicorn. His build and catch ability is off the charts. He is the 4th best tight end for fantasy if put in the right situation. The Falcons would be a great situation. The pass-heavy Atlanta offense would be deadly with the addition of Pitts and a solid pass catcher out of the backfield. On top of Pitts fantastic abilities, Julio Jones trade rumors are swirling which would make Pitts automatically the number two (maybe even number one) target in Atlanta if Julio is traded. Pitts scored 12 touchdowns last year at Florida and would be the Falcons number one redzone target. I expect Pitts to see upwards of seven targets per game. PLEASE DRAFT KYLE PITTS IN FANTASY. He’s a fourth-round pick for me in re-draft leagues, and I’d climb to the third to ensure I get him.
5. Cincinnati Bengals- Penei Sewell
a. Sewell is the best offensive lineman in the draft and immediately upgrades the Bengals run and pass protection. Upgrade Joe Burrow and Joe Mixon. Look out for Mixon as a sleeper if he falls past pick 30.
a. Top tier receiver, bottom tier fantasy situation. There would be so many mouths to feed in Miami between Chase, Will Fuller, and Devante Parker. Do you trust Tua Tagovailoa to sustain three relevant fantasy targets? I do not so I’ll fade all three Miami receivers until the 100th pick in fantasy drafts. I don’t want to rely on any of them as fantasy starters.
7. Detroit Lions- Jaylen Waddle
a. Jaylen Waddle would be the number one wide receiver in Detroit. He would be Detroit’s best offensive weapon and he will get most of the looks from Jarred Goff when the Lions are on offense. Detroit may struggle to score but should be down in most games, forcing them to throw in the second half. Expect Waddle (or any wide receiver taken here) to be an immediate fantasy contributor who can be taken as high as round eight in fantasy drafts.
8. Carolina Panthers- Rashawn Slater
a. Slater would be the second offensive lineman off the board and immediately upgrades Christian McCaffrey. McCaffrey needs to unquestionably be number one off the fantasy draft board if this is the direction the Panthers go
9. Denver Broncos- Trey Lance
a. The Broncos currently have Drew Lock who is a pocket passer, led his college team for four years and played high level competition in the SEC. Trey Lance is the complete opposite. Lance is a strong runner, didn’t play last year, and played in the Missouri Valley Conference. This presents an intriguing competition in Denver as the Broncos pick their play style for the future. Lance is a high-upside late round pick in the late, late rounds of fantasy drafts with good rushing potential and a mediocre situation in Denver.
10.Dallas Cowboys- Patrick Surtain
11. New York Giants- Kwity Paye
a. This pick presents a conundrum. The Philadelphia Eagles who drafted Jalen Hurts in the second-round last year could be looking for another QB if Justin Fields falls this far. Coming out of the college football season, Fields looked like the number two pick but is rumored to be experiencing an Aaron Rodgers like draft fall. The Eagles don’t have many pass catching weapons and realistically could benefit from a wide receiver like Devonta Smith at this pick but could they pass on Justin Fields if they believe he is their answer. The Eagles showed confidence in their evaluations last year when drafting Hurts with Carson Wentz still presumed to be the face of the franchise heading into the future. The Eagles might show the same confidence in taking a player at the most important position again if they don’t believe Hurts is the answer heading into the future. If Fields is the starter, he’s a QB-2 pick in the 120-130 range.
17. Las Vegas Raiders- Azeez Ojulari 18. Miami Dolphins- Najee Harris 19. Washington Football Team- Jeremiah Owusu-Koram 20. Chicago Bears- Greg Newsome 21. Indianapolis Colts- Jaelan Phillips 22. Tennessee Titans- Rashad Bateman 23. New York Jets (from Seattle Seahawks)- Teven Jenkins 24. Pittsburgh Steelers- Travis Etienne 25. Jacksonville Jaguars (from Los Angeles Rams)- Christian Barmore 26. Cleveland Browns-Asante Samuel 27. Baltimore Ravens-Kadarius Toney
28. New Orleans Saints- Caleb Farley 29. Green Bay Packers- Christian Darrisaw 30. Buffalo Bills- Zaven Collins 31. Baltimore Ravens (from Kansas City Chiefs)- Terrace Marshall Jr. 32. Tampa Bay Buccaneers- Trevon Moehrig